Artificial Intelligence (AI) is here, and there is fear it could render most jobs useless by 2045. According to Adam Dorr, Research Director, RethinkX, AI and robotics are moving so fast it is hard to say where we will end up when we replace humans with machines for things that they used to do, which will replace jobs; the only work that will be safe from AI robotics are those jobs like politicians, sex work, and jobs that require trust or ethical reasoning.
In an interview with The Guardian, Dorr outlined some thoughts regarding AI and how fast it is getting smarter, and how quickly it has been replacing some people. He stated that by 2045, robots and machines will be doing most of the things humans do today. Dorr and his team studied over 1,500 technological transformations over time. They found that when a new technology begins to be accepted, it is adopted and it spreads through things that are no longer made or used within 15-20 years. AI is following that same route, except it is taking over human workers.
Routine jobs or easily delimited tasks, as in the case of office work, or factory jobs in which millions participate around the world,that are at the greatest risk. It is the rapid result of AI technology being drawn into tasks, like the manufacturing processes, that will lead to the speed, quality and reliability that humans cannot compete with in nearly every industry. However, Dorr believes that some tasks requiring emotional intelligence, ethics, or trust cannot be automated, so the jobs will remain.
Even with some of the low level jobs remaining, Dorr is concerned that all of our 4 billion workers will not be able to find jobs, based on the numbers alone. Dorr warns that without charting a whole new economic system, automation will lead to unprecedented inequality.
Dorr’s warning regarding socio-economc system change and that jobs and the workforce will look much different in the future of work, comes amidst experts continuing to debate about the impact of AI on jobs. Geoffrey Hinton – “Godfather of AI” – has expressed concern about workers in a number of roles, such as workers in call centres or clerical jobs being made redundant by using generative AI.
In contrast, OpenAI’s CEO Sam Altman and Meta’s AI chief Yann LeCun argue that AI will disrupt the job market and create jobs, but those jobs likely won’t be the same as job’s today, the combination of the level of disruption in the job market compounded with the number of redundant jobs just is not familiar with many robusty jobs in economic systems.
As society rapidly accelerates through AI, with society now contemplating job and demand more manpower or labour, we expect an acceleration of prodcutivity and productivity post-academic opportunity for workers to. We remain uncertain about the future of work, but what is certain is that it will probably look very different. AI is proceeding rapidly so society need to brige the impactful futures through adaptation.