Bihar Elections 2025: Is India going to see a change of government now, like Pakistan and Bangladesh? If you think the Modi government cannot fall in the next five months, then take a look at the research done from the ground report.

Look at the Bihar election 2025 in November: a party needs 122 seats to form a government, while the NDA has 125 seats, so the issue rests on just four seats. With vote-theft propaganda, Prashant Kishor’s strategy and anti-incumbency working together, the BJP could easily lose those three or four seats. That would mean Nitish Kumar would need Rahul and Tejashwi to become the chief minister. To get that, he could withdraw the support of his 12 MPs that he had earlier given to Modi at the Centre.

That would leave the BJP with support for a total of 281 seats. Modi needs 272 seats to remain the prime minister. So right now, the government survives by just 10 seats. Here are two important moves Congress could use to topple the government by bringing down those 10 seats.

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First, among those 281 seats, there are 16 MPs of Chandrababu Naidu, seven of Eknath Shinde, and five of Chirag Paswan. If Nitish withdraws his 12 MPs’ support, Rahul Gandhi could offer Chandrababu Naidu the Home Minister or Prime Minister post, and the Modi government would fall. If this sounds strange, then we need to understand how Chaudhary Charan Singh became the prime minister in 1977.

Second, Eknath Shinde could be made Maharashtra chief minister or offered either the Home Ministry, Defence Ministry, Finance Ministry, or the External Affairs Ministry at the Centre. Plus, Chirag Paswan, who is not contesting with the NDA in Bihar anyway, could be promoted and offered one of those four big ministries. With the support of those 12 MPs gone, the Modi government would collapse. This is the entire internal game that could topple the Modi government.

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